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3. |
World History: A Hidden Teleology? |
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There can be no question that Darwin had nothing like
sufficient evidence to establish his theory of
evolution…Darwin was quite unable to demonstrate the
infinitude of connecting links, the existence of which
he admitted was crucial to his theory. Michael Denton
Evolution: A Theory in Crisis, p. 69
3.1 The Limits of Observation
The issue is not science versus religion, but the promotion
of Darwinian pseudo-science beyond the limits of
observation, and the metaphysical projection of natural
selection as a universal law of biological evolution. In
reality those limits make the empirical demonstration of the
mechanism of evolution very difficult. We can see that there
are degrees to the discovery of the fact of evolution. We
might detect evolution, but even so we must zoom in to study
the process in detail before we can get a sense of how it
works. This is a tremendously difficult thing to do. The
task assumes we can observe the entire record of a species
over a vast terrestrial space and over many thousands, or
millions of years to verify the claimed mechanism. Put that
way we see that actually observing evolution in full is
close to impossible, and the result is that we are left with
inferences. It is here that the temptation to make natural
selection a ‘law of evolution’ not requiring verification in
all cases arose as if in imitation of physics. But there is
no such universal law. If we are to have ‘laws of evolution’
they must be something far more complex than what science
currently considers. A study of history shows at once the
fallacy of this kind of thinking. We take for granted the
need for a continuous chronicle of all events. But with
evolutionary histories a lesser standard has somehow become
the norm. The situation is almost preposterous, and there is
every possibility we have missed the key to the dynamics
altogether. We must retreat to the stance of chronicling
evolution, wary of premature speculative theories of its
mechanism. In fact, this is what scientists actually do, if
we observe the reality beyond the endless debates.
The Limits of Observation Darwinian
speculation greatly underestimates the difficulty of
observing evolution, and tends to substitute assumptions
about natural selection for the hard work of observing
evolution in action. Once we really begin to observe
‘evolution’ we see that it is a non-random process that
stands out against the backdrop of deep time
.
Observing Speciation? The Hurricane Argument
(inset box) shows the problem with ‘jungle surface’
observations of life (the source for Darwin/Wallace of
their theories). That surface suggests natural
selection. But the reality of speciation is ‘seen’ only
over millions of years in diverse sections of a global
environment. Not surprising the problem is confusing.
The problem of evidence is especia
lly critical in the case of the descent of man whose
emergence is a mystery still unresolved by the speculative
assumptions of current reductionist science. Further, man is
still a mystery even to himself, what to say of how this
mystery evolved. The facts working biologists themselves
have uncovered don’t inspire confidence in the Darwinian
interpretation. The appearance of man is uncomfortably
sudden in the reckoning of periods enforced by the evidence
we have. If the observation of evolution in deep
time is difficult, we are left to ask if there is any data
set available to us that can demonstrate evolution in
action. The answer is a surprising one: world history
itself.
History and Evolution: Some Empiricism
The problem with the theory of Darwin lies in the
verification of its claims for natural selection, and
random evolution. We need an independent test of the
issues. The study of history might help. Properly
documented sequences of evolution are rare to
non-existent. The only intensively observed
historical/evolutionary sequence, one with data in real
time and at the level of centuries or less, is that of
world history since the invention of writing. As we
examine world history in the light of recent discoveries
since the nineteenth century the suspicion arises that
the clue to evolution lies there, if we can understand
it.
Some systems analysis The Axial Age might confuse us.
There is another approach, which we will try in this
chapter. Any complex entity can be analyzed with a
generalized systems analysis (which is looser than causal
analysis). Does the system show coherent behavior or have
any structural properties? That is an important tactic since
given the diffuse chaos of world history we might not think
to try this. One technique is a frequency analysis, does the
system show cyclical behavior of any kind? To our stunned
surprise we can see that it does, in the interval where we
have continuous data at the centuries level, showing a clear
baseline cycling. This unique data set, five thousand
years in length, with less complete intervals rapidly
filling in, is just barely long enough to put the idea of
natural selection to a test. Lo and behold, we do see a
process of evolution in action, a statement requiring
careful delineation. The result suggests something entirely
different from the mechanism claimed by Darwin: innovations
appear discontinuously in a non-random fashion. At first, it
seems preposterous to bring the term ‘evolution’ to history.
But it is not hard to derive a rationale for this: evolution
and history must overlap, so to speak, and the resulting
transition should be visible empirically. With this clue we
discover to our surprise the secret to world history.
3.2 World History: The Non-random In Plain Sight
It was the biologist Dobzhansky who noted that ‘nothing
makes sense’ except in the light of evolution. But the
corollary we suspect is that nothing makes sense in the
light of natural selection and the perspective of random
evolution. It is suspiciously the kind of theory those who
have never truly observed evolution might adopt. Chapter 3: World
History: A Hidden Teleology
Introduction
Chapter 2: Science,
Ideology, and World View
Chapter 3: World
History: A Hidden Teleology Chapter 4: The
Evolution Controversy
Chapter 5: History and
Evolution
Conclusion
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The Axial Age as a piece in a
larger puzzle
The rapid growth of archaeological
knowledge since the nineteenth century has greatly expanded our
views of world history and, significantly, crossed a threshold
of five thousand years, the bare minimum interval, we are about
to see, for grasping the logic of historical evolution. This
data begins to show the unmistakable evidence of a non-random
pattern in world history since the invention of writing This
pattern was discovered in two different ways: 1. The basic
discovery is of the so-called Axial Age, the enigmatic
synchronous emergence of cultural innovations and advances
across Eurasia in the period of the Classical Greeks and early
Romans, the Prophets of Israel, the era of the Upanishads and
Buddhism in India, and Confucius in China. The sudden
discontinuity of its onset, and geographical separation of its
manifestations, confronts us with a process that must be global
in scope. Trying to understand this phenomenon leads us to
suspect it is part of a larger pattern: 2. The solution to
the riddle of the Axial Age is found in the suggestion of a
frequency phenomenon. Further, the perception of a long-range
directionality to world history has occurred independently to
many observers. We can formulate an hypothesis on this basis,
that of the mysterious sequential logic of turning points or
transitions proceeding down a mainline of the diversity of
civilizations. Looking at the Axial phenomenon we are forced to
consider if it is really a step in a sequence, and moving
backwards and forwards we suddenly discover the full pattern.
Note that these turning points are equally spaced, with an
interval of about 2400 years, clear evidence of a cyclical
phenomenon. |
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